Aziz, Muhammad and Haron, Mohd Azmi and Siri, Zailan and Ismail, Noriszura (2024) Projection of Older Population in Malaysia by Physical Disability Status (Unjuran Penduduk Tua di Malaysia Mengikut Status Ketidakupayaan Fizikal). Sains Malaysiana, 53 (11). pp. 3791-3801. ISSN 0126-6039, DOI https://doi.org/10.17576/jsm-2024-5311-21.
Full text not available from this repository.Abstract
In Malaysia, the well-being of individuals with disabilities remains a concern. Addressing the situation of individuals with disabilities and the aging population is critical for the future of Malaysia. This study utilizes a multistate approach to assess the transition probability of disability among older adults in Malaysia. We utilize information from the National Health Morbidity Survey (NHMS) 2019 to parameterize a functional Markov Model and employ a cohort-component projection method for projecting the Malaysian population for 2020-2040 by disability status. The probability of becoming disabled increases with age and is higher for females than males. By 2040, it is anticipated that Malaysia will have nearly 1.7 million disabled older persons experiencing at least two of the six physical limitations delineated in the National Health Morbidity Survey 2019. With advancing age, there is a progressive increase in the likelihood of experiencing disability. The projected 13% of Malaysians aged 65 and above by 2040 emphasizes the necessity for enhanced eldercare social security.
| Item Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Funders: | Ministry of Education, Malaysia, LTC insurance in Malaysia, United States Department of Health & Human Services National Institutes of Health (NIH) - USA |
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | Disability; long-term care; Malaysian older adults; NHMS 2019; population projection |
| Subjects: | Q Science > QA Mathematics |
| Divisions: | Faculty of Science > Institute of Mathematical Sciences |
| Depositing User: | Ms. Juhaida Abd Rahim |
| Date Deposited: | 20 Feb 2025 02:20 |
| Last Modified: | 20 Feb 2025 02:20 |
| URI: | http://eprints.um.edu.my/id/eprint/47358 |
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