Adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system coupled with shuffled frog leaping algorithm for predicting river streamflow time series

Mohammadi, Babak and Linh, Nguyen Thi Thuy and Pham, Quoc Bao and Ahmed, Ali Najah and Vojtekova, Jana and Guan, Yiqing and Abba, S. and El-Shafie, Ahmed (2020) Adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system coupled with shuffled frog leaping algorithm for predicting river streamflow time series. Hydrological Sciences Journal-Journal des Sciences Hydrologiques, 65 (10). pp. 1738-1751. ISSN 0262-6667, DOI https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2020.1758703.

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Abstract

Accurate runoff forecasting plays a key role in catchment water management and water resources system planning. To improve the prediction accuracy, one needs to strive to develop a reliable and accurate forecasting model for streamflow. In this study, the novel combination of the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) model with the shuffled frog-leaping algorithm (SFLA) is proposed. Historical streamflow data of two different rivers were collected to examine the performance of the proposed model. To evaluate the performance of the proposed ANFIS-SFLA model, six different scenarios for the model input-output architecture were investigated. The results show that the proposed ANFIS-SFLA model (R-2= 0.88; NS = 0.88; RMSE = 142.30 (m(3)/s); MAE = 88.94 (m(3)/s); MAPE = 35.19%) significantly improved the forecasting accuracy and outperformed the classic ANFIS model (R-2= 0.83; NS = 0.83; RMSE = 167.81; MAE = 115.83 (m(3)/s); MAPE = 45.97%). The proposed model could be generalized and applied in different rivers worldwide.

Item Type: Article
Funders: UNSPECIFIED
Uncontrolled Keywords: Streamflow; Estimation; Time series models; Adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS); Shuffled frog leaping algorithm (SFLA)
Subjects: T Technology > TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
Divisions: Faculty of Engineering > Department of Civil Engineering
Depositing User: Ms Zaharah Ramly
Date Deposited: 08 Mar 2023 02:46
Last Modified: 08 Mar 2023 02:46
URI: http://eprints.um.edu.my/id/eprint/37621

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