The influence of sovereign credit ratings on sovereign credit default swaps: do splits matter?

Lim, K.-T. and Goh, Kim Leng and Kwek, Kian Teng (2021) The influence of sovereign credit ratings on sovereign credit default swaps: do splits matter? Economics Bulletin, 41 (4). pp. 2433-2444. ISSN 15452921,

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Abstract

This paper compares the influence of sovereign credit ratings (SCRs) issue by three credit rating agencies (CRAs) on sovereign credit default swaps (SCDSs) that is adopted as a proxy for debt pricing. The sample covers quarterly observations from 2008 to 2020 for 32 countries that were graded by all the three CRAs. The generalized methods of moment based on forward orthogonal deviation transformation is used for estimation. During the period 2008-2011 when a divergence in the SCRs issued by the three CRAs was apparent, the SCRs were relevant for pricing of the SCDSs. The influence of the SCRs issued by Fitch and the combination of Fitch and Moody's on SCDSs is the largest. This indicates a market preference for the SCRs issued by specific CRAs and the splits in creditworthiness opinions matter for debt pricing. On the contrary, when such splits are almost negligible in the period 2012-2020, the convergence in the SCRs issued by the different CRAs did not have the expected influence on SCDSs. This calls for further investigation into the influence of non-sovereign risk factors on debt pricing © 2021, Economics Bulletin.All Rights Reserved.

Item Type: Article
Funders: UNSPECIFIED
Uncontrolled Keywords: Sovereign credit ratings
Subjects: H Social Sciences > H Social Sciences (General)
H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory > Business cycles. Economic fluctuations
H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor > HD28 Management. Industrial Management
Divisions: Faculty of Business and Economics
Faculty of Business and Economics > Department of Economics and Applied Statistics
Depositing User: Ms Zaharah Ramly
Date Deposited: 28 Nov 2023 13:05
Last Modified: 28 Nov 2023 13:05
URI: http://eprints.um.edu.my/id/eprint/36138

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